Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.198405 0.225689 0.254956 0.288639 0.326284 0.367013 0.414364
2026-01-04 0.164777 0.201849 0.244257 0.296184 0.357867 0.428606 0.515670
2026-01-11 0.138291 0.180801 0.232234 0.298668 0.381786 0.481888 0.611072
2026-01-18 0.119826 0.166096 0.224951 0.304642 0.408967 0.540038 0.716195
2026-01-25 0.106178 0.155222 0.220494 0.312687 0.438325 0.602155 0.830267
2026-02-01 0.092179 0.141727 0.210541 0.311646 0.454651 0.647603 0.925072
2026-02-08 0.080710 0.130113 0.201511 0.310319 0.469567 0.691234 1.019448
2026-02-15 0.071169 0.119994 0.193254 0.308778 0.483303 0.733306 1.113518
2026-02-22 0.065188 0.114513 0.191092 0.315636 0.509221 0.793714 1.236778
2026-03-01 0.058481 0.106982 0.184850 0.315368 0.523919 0.838067 1.338598
2026-03-08 0.052781 0.100387 0.179308 0.315436 0.538694 0.882880 1.443076
2026-03-15 0.047935 0.094649 0.174509 0.316063 0.554022 0.928965 1.551529
2026-03-22 0.044189 0.090574 0.172327 0.321190 0.577568 0.990234 1.688868
2026-03-29 0.041286 0.087703 0.171922 0.329236 0.606418 1.061573 1.846233
2026-04-05 0.037890 0.083465 0.168622 0.331816 0.625997 1.118768 1.983689
2026-04-12 0.035370 0.080638 0.167596 0.338295 0.652620 1.188949 2.146108
2026-04-19 0.033372 0.078622 0.167866 0.347083 0.683777 1.268312 2.327849
2026-04-26 0.030429 0.074244 0.163109 0.345908 0.696651 1.316725 2.459070
2026-05-03 0.027766 0.070129 0.158445 0.344432 0.708685 1.364060 2.590500
2026-05-10 0.025357 0.066270 0.153898 0.342729 0.720010 1.410494 2.722347
2026-05-17 0.024015 0.064701 0.153961 0.350258 0.749407 1.490911 2.918462
2026-05-24 0.022123 0.061581 0.150391 0.349959 0.763376 1.543574 3.066655
2026-05-31 0.020437 0.058742 0.147148 0.350032 0.777969 1.597965 3.220344